Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.614150 1.867297 2.145710 2.474437 2.851795 3.271264 3.772778
2025-03-23 1.302803 1.643743 2.050686 2.571478 3.219614 3.999052 5.007064
2025-03-30 1.067780 1.454023 1.949317 2.629366 3.537227 4.705846 6.322912
2025-04-06 0.871800 1.271846 1.819067 2.619375 3.756931 5.312561 7.598212
2025-04-13 0.686278 1.066798 1.619128 2.474982 3.763105 5.624198 8.511346
2025-04-20 0.600014 0.987629 1.581093 2.549620 4.083765 6.411524 10.201146
2025-04-27 0.542052 0.940343 1.580691 2.676421 4.494740 7.379037 12.284458
2025-05-04 0.481274 0.877108 1.543314 2.734885 4.799880 8.213521 14.259246
2025-05-11 0.425681 0.812714 1.492776 2.760741 5.049172 8.980836 16.211894
2025-05-18 0.364504 0.727754 1.392980 2.683679 5.105302 9.421527 17.650205
2025-05-25 0.306518 0.638936 1.272400 2.549355 5.035851 9.625976 18.681651
2025-06-01 0.273671 0.593815 1.226851 2.548976 5.213407 10.293884 20.638177
2025-06-08 0.236664 0.535389 1.149160 2.478980 5.255781 10.730310 22.244870
2025-06-15 0.224420 0.527603 1.172922 2.619076 5.738735 12.080044 25.819363
2025-06-22 0.208410 0.508865 1.170941 2.704548 6.119934 13.272582 29.224544
2025-06-29 0.188023 0.476649 1.134870 2.710220 6.330530 14.138244 32.053228
2025-07-06 0.160270 0.422102 1.040395 2.570034 6.198762 14.259998 33.294229
2025-07-13 0.150258 0.409647 1.041763 2.653046 6.586352 15.559987 37.300284
2025-07-20 0.144095 0.405998 1.063655 2.788344 7.114255 17.235577 42.359694
2025-07-27 0.134484 0.391593 1.056798 2.851325 7.475431 18.568513 46.776258
2025-08-03 0.124120 0.373347 1.037438 2.879546 7.753705 19.737171 50.936800
2025-08-10 0.110130 0.342412 0.980182 2.800023 7.746374 20.213195 53.455097
2025-08-17 0.095467 0.306848 0.904922 2.660479 7.561875 20.225204 54.803133